Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-18 0.001067 0.001211 0.001356 0.001511 0.001672 0.001835 0.002010
2026-01-25 0.000802 0.001007 0.001219 0.001452 0.001701 0.001956 0.002236
2026-02-01 0.000617 0.000865 0.001131 0.001431 0.001756 0.002095 0.002471
2026-02-08 0.000485 0.000765 0.001076 0.001436 0.001832 0.002251 0.002720
2026-02-15 0.000381 0.000687 0.001038 0.001452 0.001915 0.002409 0.002968
2026-02-22 0.000302 0.000627 0.001013 0.001479 0.002006 0.002573 0.003218
2026-03-01 0.000218 0.000549 0.000961 0.001469 0.002052 0.002683 0.003408
2026-03-08 0.000139 0.000464 0.000893 0.001435 0.002066 0.002757 0.003553
2026-03-15 0.000092 0.000416 0.000866 0.001446 0.002129 0.002881 0.003753
2026-03-22 0.000049 0.000361 0.000825 0.001437 0.002167 0.002975 0.003916
2026-03-29 0.000026 0.000330 0.000813 0.001462 0.002240 0.003108 0.004120
2026-04-05 0.000005 0.000285 0.000779 0.001455 0.002276 0.003196 0.004274
2026-04-12 NaN 0.000228 0.000732 0.001448 0.002330 0.003325 0.004498
2026-04-19 NaN 0.000150 0.000645 0.001386 0.002318 0.003381 0.004641
2026-04-26 NaN 0.000100 0.000590 0.001363 0.002350 0.003486 0.004839
2026-05-03 NaN 0.000067 0.000558 0.001366 0.002414 0.003627 0.005078
2026-05-10 NaN 0.000044 0.000535 0.001381 0.002490 0.003781 0.005331
2026-05-17 NaN 0.000027 0.000521 0.001406 0.002579 0.003950 0.005599
2026-05-24 NaN 0.000008 0.000484 0.001396 0.002621 0.004062 0.005802
2026-05-31 NaN NaN 0.000434 0.001363 0.002632 0.004137 0.005960
2026-06-07 NaN NaN 0.000414 0.001374 0.002698 0.004274 0.006189
2026-06-14 NaN NaN 0.000384 0.001365 0.002737 0.004380 0.006380
2026-06-21 NaN NaN 0.000375 0.001389 0.002817 0.004532 0.006624